美國新冠疫情日記 11/21

      The Fed’s Energy And Economic Conference

Today I joined the Dallas and Kansas City Fed’s Fifth Annual Joint Energy Virtual Conference. The President of the Dallas Fed, Robert Kaplan, gave the keynote speech and talked about the state of the energy sector and the outlook for global oil and gas markets, the opportunities and risks of the global energy transition and the changing of the U.S. energy landscape.

This whole day event included sessions in the near-term outlook for global oil and gas markets, opportunities and risks of the global energy transition and challenges in the energy finance.

President Kaplan expected that the 2020 GDP will show a contraction of approximately 3-3.5% and that the unemployment rate at the end of the year will be at approximately 7.5%. These forecasts, of course, depend on the path of coronavirus.

Under the U.S. Federal Reserve Bank System there are 12 branches including branches in Dallas and Kansas City.

Today we finally have a vaccine coming to rescue us from the pandemic. We also saw structural changes in the U.S. economy, including demographics, productivity and Technology-Enabled Disruption.

The Federal Reserve is an independent agency that guides our nation’s financial and economic direction. Their decisions totally affect our future.

   美國能源經濟的前景

今天我參加了達拉斯美國中央儲備銀行舉辦的美國能源及經濟視訊會議，由該行總裁羅拔卡布蘭發表了主旨演講，他認為美國全國失業率將會降到百分七點五，今年全國經濟增長率仍會在百分之三至三點， 這些估計當然和疫情發展有密切關係。

今天的硏討會也討論了能源對德州及美國之影響，因為新冠疫情之嚴峻情勢，將對許多產業發生根本性之變化。

美國中央儲備銀行執掌國家經濟大權，屬下共有十二個分支機構，其中包括達拉斯及堪薩斯市分處。

我們十分欣慰新冠疫苗即將上市， 這個救命的神丹是我們之救星 ，希望大眾早日接種， 同時也來挽救困難之經濟環境。

美國總統交接仍在令人擔憂的時刻， 希望華府政壇要早日解決僵局， 否則真是會让世界各國之譏笑，更影響我們在全球的威信。