美国即将对委内瑞拉动武？

这阵子，美国在委内瑞拉近海大举增兵，军舰、战机云集，加勒比海几乎成了军事演习场。名义上是「反毒」、「打击恐怖主义」，实际上，多次空袭已让不少从委内瑞拉出发的船隻沉入海底，伤亡数字不断上升。

白宫说，目标是「毒梟组织」，不是委内瑞拉政府；文件上，还不叫「战争」，只是「行动」与「打击」。但对普通人来说，军机轰鸣、航班绕道、物资紧张，感受得到的，就是战争在一步步逼近。

所以问「美国是不是要对委内瑞拉动武」，答案也许是：

形式上，还没有全面开战；实质上，战争的影子已经笼罩在委内瑞拉周边的海面和人民的生活之上。真正的第一声炮响，可能只是时间与误判的问题。

Is the U.S. About to Go to War with Venezuela?

Lately, the waters near Venezuela look less like the Caribbean and more like a staging ground. U.S. warships and aircraft crowd the area, all under the banner of “anti-drug operations” and “counter-terrorism.” In reality, repeated airstrikes have already sent boats linked to Venezuela to the bottom of the sea, with casualties quietly rising.

The White House insists the targets are “cartels,” not the Venezuelan state. On paper, this isn’t called a “war,” just “operations” and “strikes.” But for ordinary people, the labels don’t matter. Fighter jets overhead, rerouted flights, disrupted trade and growing shortages all feel like a slow war creeping closer.

So, is the U.S. about to go to war with Venezuela?

Formally, not yet. In substance, the shadow of war is already spreading over the waters around Venezuela and into daily life. The first official shot may come later—but the logic of war is already in motio